Estrela Amadora vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction, Odds & Insights – Liga Portugal (14/09/2025)

Estrela Amadora vs Vitoria Guimaraes — prediction

The Liga Portugal clash between Estrela Amadora and Vitoria Guimaraes is set for 16:30 at the Estadio Jose Gomes, hosting 9,288 fans. Referee Miguel Bertolo Nogueira will oversee this intriguing matchday 5 encounter on September 14, 2025.

Estrela Amadora in Focus

Estrela Amadora line up in a 3-5-2 formation including players like R. Ribeiro and A. Godoy. Recent form shows they have a mixed record with 5 wins, 4 losses, and 1 draw over their last 10 matches. At home, they have struggled somewhat with just one home victory, while averaging 1.8 goals per game overall.

Vitoria Guimaraes at a Glance

Vitoria Guimaraes typically deploy a 4-2-3-1 formation featuring talents like G. Nogueira and J. Mendes. Their solid away record boasts 7 wins on the road out of their last 10 games, showing a strong attacking output averaging 3.3 goals per match overall with 50% of their games seeing more than 2.5 goals.

We Say

We back Vitoria Guimaraes to win the match with odds at 2.35. With a 50.55% probability standing behind this pick, backing Guimaraes seems the logical choice given their recent form and away strengths. Estrela Amadora faces a tough challenge but can draw confidence from solid performances at home previously.

Stats That Matter

Stat Estrela Amadora Vitoria Guimaraes
Avg. Goals For 1.8 3.3
Avg. Goals Against 1.3 1.3
Last Meeting (GF)
  • Both clubs have had mixed recent results, but Vitoria Guimaraes shows more away wins.
  • Estrela Amadora has a high percentage (80%) of games with under 2.5 goals, contrasting Vitoria Guimaraes’ 50% split between under and over 2.5.
  • Other notable upcoming Liga Portugal matches offer further betting opportunities on September 14 and beyond.

Odds & Insights

Market Estrela Amadora Vitoria Guimaraes Draw/Alt
1X2 2.35
Over/Under 2.5 Goals Under 2.5 (1.48)
Both Teams to Score No
Correct Score
Anytime Goalscorer

Past Meetings (H2H)

Date Competition Result

Our Take

This encounter pits an Estrela Amadora side that scores less and struggles defensively against a potent Vitoria Guimaraes team with a solid away record. The main bet favors Vitoria Guimaraes to secure the win given their balanced offense and recent momentum. Under 2.5 goals is a sensible secondary option given Estrela Amadora’s tendency for low scoring games. Meanwhile, betting on no goals from both sides aligns with recent trends.

  • Main Bet: Vitoria Guimaraes to win the match.
  • Secondary Option: Under 2.5 goals in the match.
  • Alternative: Both teams do not score.
  • Correct Score Lean:

Overall, expect a disciplined tactical battle with Vitoria Guimaraes favored but Estrela Amadora ready to challenge at home. Bettors should consider form, scoring averages, and market odds carefully. This fixture could be a low-scoring affair with the visitors edging it in a tight contest.

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