Tondela vs Estrela Amadora Prediction, Odds & Insights – Liga Portugal (21/09/2025)

Tondela vs Estrela Amadora — prediction

The Liga Portugal match between Tondela and Estrela Amadora kicks off at 16:30 on 21 September 2025 at Estadio Joao Cardoso. Fans can expect an exciting clash in front of 5,000 passionate supporters in this sixth round showdown.

Tondela in Focus

Tondela will line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation with key players like B. Parise Fontes and Y. Rodriguez leading the attack. The home side has won 3 of their last 10 matches, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. At home, they have a solid record with 5 victories and score on average 1.4 goals per match.

Estrela Amadora at a Glance

Estrela Amadora opts for a 3-4-3 tactical setup, featuring attackers such as R. Pinho and Kikas. Despite fewer wins recently (only 1 in their last 10 games), their defense remains competitive, conceding an average of 1.4 goals. Their away form shows some struggles with 6 defeats and 3 draws.

We Say

We believe Tondela will take the win in this match. With a 41.06% probability backing a home victory, the host’s form and home advantage should tip the scales in their favor for this Liga Portugal encounter.

Stats That Matter

Stat Tondela Estrela Amadora
Avg. Goals For 1.1 0.5
Avg. Goals Against 1.6 1.4
Last Meeting (GF) 0 2
  • Tondela’s recent matches include a tight 0-1 loss against FC Alverca and a 2-2 draw with Estrela Amadora.
  • In the last 10 games, Tondela has seen 3 wins and 5 defeats, while Estrela Amadora has managed only 1 win but 6 losses.
  • Other upcoming matches this weekend feature several exciting Liga Portugal clashes such as Rio Ave vs Porto and Santa Clara vs FC Alverca.

Odds & Insights

Market Tondela Estrela Amadora Draw/Alt
1X2 Tondela win
Over/Under 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
Both Teams to Score No
Correct Score
Anytime Goalscorer

Past Meetings (H2H)

Date Competition Result
14 Sept. Liga Portugal Estrela Amadora 2 – 0 Tondela
25 Aug. Liga Portugal Tondela 2 – 2 Estrela Amadora

The recent head-to-head record shows competitive but tight matches, signaling a close contest ahead.

Our Take

This match promises a tactical battle with Tondela holding a slight edge thanks to their home form and attacking potential. The expected low scoring fits the statistical trend seen in their recent outings, with both sides showing defensive resilience.

  • Main Bet: Tondela to win the match
  • Secondary Option: Under 2.5 goals
  • Alternative: Both teams not to score
  • Correct Score Lean:

Overall, this prediction leans towards a closely fought game, but Tondela’s motivation and recent statistics suggest they are the likely winners. Bettors should keep an eye out for a tight, low-scoring affair at Estadio Joao Cardoso.

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