Au vs Erre – Toulouse Prediction, Odds & Insights – Ligue 1 (21/09/2025)

Au vs Erre - Toulouse — prediction

Get ready for an exciting Ligue 1 clash at Stade de l’Abbe-Deschamps on 21/09/2025, kickoff at 17:15 local time. Auxerre hosts Toulouse in what promises to be an intriguing fixture in the 5th matchday of the French top flight.

Au in Focus

Auxerre lines up in a 4-4-1-1 formation with T. De Percin guarding the goal and S. Mara leading the attack. Recently, Auxerre has recorded 3 wins, 6 defeats, and 1 draw in their last 10 matches, showing a somewhat inconsistent form at home. Their average goals scored per match stand at 0.9, with an average conceded of 1.7, reflecting some defensive vulnerabilities. Upcoming fixtures include challenging matches such as hosting Lorient and Monaco in the same kickoff time slot.

Erre – Toulouse at a Glance

Toulouse prefers a 3-4-3 formation, with G. Restes as goalkeeper and a forward line featuring F. Magri and Y. Gboho. They have won 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, with their away performances being slightly better. Toulouse averages 1 goal scored per match but concedes 2.6 goals, indicating potential defensive issues on the road. Their next fixtures include the Marseille vs PSG showdown, highlighting a hectic schedule for the league leaders.

We Say

We back Toulouse to win the match, with odds at 2.52 reflecting a 43.23% probability. We see an attacking game where both teams find the net and expect over 2.5 goals as well.

Stats That Matter

Stat Au Erre – Toulouse
Avg. Goals For 0.9 1
Avg. Goals Against 1.7 2.6
Last Meeting (GF)
  • Auxerre has 3 wins against Toulouse’s 2 in their latest 10 matches, but both struggle defensively.
  • Both teams have 60% of their recent games finishing with over 2.5 goals, pointing to an open game.
  • Upcoming matches in the league include high-profile clashes, intensifying competitive pressure.

Odds & Insights

Market Au Erre – Toulouse Draw/Alt
1X2 2.52
Over/Under 2.5 Goals 1.82
Both Teams to Score Yes
Correct Score
Anytime Goalscorer

Past Meetings (H2H)

Date Competition Result

Our Take

This matchup features two teams with defensive struggles but decent scoring ability, especially Toulouse who slightly edge Auxerre in away goals scored. The stats and odds favor Toulouse to take the win, reflecting their potential to break down Auxerre’s backline. Given the frequency of high-scoring games for both sides, backing over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring looks promising.

  • Main Bet: Toulouse to win (odds: 2.52)
  • Secondary Option: Over 2.5 goals (odds: 1.82)
  • Alternative: Both teams to score – Yes
  • Correct Score Lean:

Despite Auxerre’s home advantage, their defensive record and recent form suggest a tough night ahead against a Toulouse squad eager to capitalize on their scoring chances. Bettors should look to capitalize on the goal markets and consider Toulouse’s win at value odds. This match promises to be entertaining with plenty of action for fans and punters alike.

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