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Get ready for an exciting Brasileirão clash as Bahia hosts Gremio at the Arena Fonte Nova. The match kicks off at 01:30 on 20/10/2025, with both teams eager to claim vital points in this 29th round encounter.
Bahia in Focus
Bahia deploys a 4-3-3 formation led by goalkeeper Ronaldo and attacker Tiago. They have a strong home record with 8 wins out of 10 games, averaging 2.1 goals scored per home match and conceding just 0.7 goals on average. Recently, Bahia secured wins against Flamengo, Botafogo, and Palmeiras, demonstrating solid form in the Brasileirão.
Gremio at a Glance
Gremio line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, with Grando guarding the net and Martins de Souza Santos spearheading the attack. While their away record shows only 4 wins in 10 matches, they remain competitive, with a recent mixed set of results. Gremio’s scoring average is somewhat lower at 1.1 goals per away match, and defensively they concede around 0.7 goals.
We Say
We back Bahia to take the win in this fixture, with odds favoring a home victory at 1.64. The probability of this outcome stands at a solid 51.07%, making it the preferred bet in our eyes.
Stats That Matter
| Stat | Bahia | Gremio |
|---|---|---|
| Avg. Goals For | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Avg. Goals Against | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Last Meeting (GF) | – | – |
- Bahia has shown strong recent form with wins over Flamengo, Botafogo, and Palmeiras.
- Gremio has a balanced recent record but fewer wins overall compared to Bahia.
- Upcoming matches include Palmeiras vs Bragantino and Botafogo vs Flamengo, indicating a competitive Brasileirão schedule.
Odds & Insights
| Market | Bahia | Gremio | Draw/Alt |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 1.64 | – | – |
| Over/Under 2.5 Goals | Under 2.5 (1.5) | – | – |
| Both Teams to Score | No | – | – |
| Correct Score | – | – | – |
| Anytime Goalscorer | – | – | – |
Past Meetings (H2H)
| Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|
| – | – | – |
–
Our Take
This match presents an intriguing battle between two well-matched teams. Bahia boasts a stronger home record and is slightly favored given their recent results. The advised bet is Bahia to win, supported by a 51.07% probability and attractive odds of 1.64. Considering the stats, a low-scoring match seems likely, so backing under 2.5 goals or that both teams won’t score could also be sensible strategies.
- Main Bet: Bahia to win the match
- Secondary Option: Under 2.5 goals
- Alternative: Both teams not to score
- Correct Score Lean: –
In conclusion, Bahia appears well-positioned to claim the win at home. Their offensive and defensive averages, combined with solid recent form, give them the edge. Bettors looking for value might find this match appealing, especially with expected tight gameplay reflected in the odds and scoring trends. Stay tuned for an exciting showdown under the Arena Fonte Nova lights that could swing in favor of the hosts.
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Content assisted by AI. This article was created in whole or in part with the help of artificial intelligence.
