Newcastle vs Benfica Prediction, Odds & Insights – Ligue Des Champions (21/10/2025)

Newcastle vs Benfica — prediction
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The Champions League clash between Newcastle and Benfica will take place on October 21, 2025, at the iconic St. James’ Park. Kickoff is set for 21:00, promising an exciting encounter in front of over 52,000 passionate fans.

Newcastle in Focus

Newcastle is expected to line up in a 4-3-3 formation with key players like N. Pope in goal and an attacking trio featuring Joelinton, A. Elanga, and A. Gordon. The Magpies have recent mixed form, with four wins, three draws, and three defeats in their last ten matches across competitions. At home, they tend to score and concede about 2.8 goals per match on average, showing a balanced but open style.

Benfica at a Glance

Benfica will approach the game with a 4-2-3-1 formation, led by goalkeeper A. Trubin and attack spearheaded by V. Pavlidis and D. Lukebakio. They are slightly more consistent recently, securing five wins in their last ten outings. Benfica has a strong away record, averaging 2.9 total goals per game and slightly better defensive stats.

We Say

We back Benfica to win this match with a probability of 39.21% and odds of 4.5. Although Newcastle play at home, we feel Benfica’s form and tactical setup give them the edge in this Champions League fixture.

Stats That Matter

Stat Newcastle Benfica
Avg. Goals For 1.5 1.5
Avg. Goals Against 0.8 0.8
Last Meeting (GF)
  • Newcastle has won 4 and drawn 3 of their last 10 matches, while Benfica has been slightly better with 5 wins.
  • Both teams have a 50% split between games with over and under 2.5 goals, highlighting an unpredictable scoring pattern.
  • Other Champions League fixtures on the same day include Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid and Bayer Leverkusen vs PSG.

Odds & Insights

Market Newcastle Benfica Draw/Alt
1X2 4.5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals Over 2.5 goals
Both Teams to Score No
Correct Score
Anytime Goalscorer

Past Meetings (H2H)

Date Competition Result

Our Take

This match promises to be a tactical battle with both teams balanced in scoring and conceding goals. Newcastle’s home advantage is clear but Benfica’s form and slight edge in away performance tilt the scales in their favor. Expect a closely fought game with a modest goal count.

  • Main Bet: Benfica to win the match (odds 4.5)
  • Secondary Option: Over 2.5 goals
  • Alternative: Both teams NOT to score
  • Correct Score Lean:

Despite Newcastle’s tenacity at home, Benfica’s recent Champions League wins suggest they can secure a surprise victory. Bettors should note the match has a healthy goal-scoring average, so consider combined bets to maximize value. Keep an eye on both teams’ lineups as set pieces and pressing intensity could be decisive.

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Content assisted by AI. This article was created in whole or in part with the help of artificial intelligence.

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