Au vs Erre – Metz Prediction, Odds & Insights – Ligue 1 (07/12/2025)

Au vs Erre - Metz — prediction
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Matchday 15 of Ligue 1 brings us a clash at Stade de l’Abbe-Deschamps where Auxerre hosts Metz on 07/12/2025, kicking off at 17:15. The venue with a capacity of 18,541 will witness this exciting fixture.

Au in Focus

Auxerre will line up in a dynamic 4-3-3 formation featuring players like D. Leon and L. Sinayoko. Despite only 1 win in their last 10 matches, they have maintained a solid average of 1.9 goals per game and tend to see matches with fewer than 2.5 goals 70% of the time. Their home performances have shown a moderate goal average, hinting at a tightly contested game.

Erre – Metz at a Glance

Metz, set in a 4-2-3-1 system with players such as J. Fischer and G. Tsitaishvili, have recorded 3 wins in their last 10 outings. They exhibit a higher scoring average of 3.4 goals per game and are more prone to matches exceeding 2.5 goals at 60%. Away from home, they score an average of 1.1 goals, with a relatively strong defensive record conceding 0.8 goals on average.

We Say

We back Auxerre to win this match with odds at 1.93. With a winning probability of 46.08%, this home advantage combined with a defensive approach suggests a tight game. We believe Auxerre can get the job done.

Stats That Matter

Stat Auxerre Metz
Avg. Goals For 1.9 3.4
Avg. Goals Against 1.4 2.3
Last Meeting (GF)
  • Auxerre has struggled with 6 defeats and only 1 win in their last 10 matches.
  • Metz is slightly more successful with 3 wins and 1 draw in their recent 10 matches.
  • Upcoming Ligue 1 fixtures include Brest vs Monaco and PSG vs Rennes, offering bettors a busy weekend ahead.

Odds & Insights

Market Auxerre Metz Draw/Alt
1X2 1.93
Over/Under 2.5 Goals Under 2.5 (1.71)
Both Teams to Score Yes No
Correct Score
Anytime Goalscorer

Past Meetings (H2H)

Date Competition Result

Our Take

Considering Auxerre’s home setup in a 4-3-3 formation and Metz’s more attacking style, we anticipate a low-scoring encounter favoring the home side. Auxerre’s tendency towards matches with fewer than 2.5 goals aligns well with the advised bet on under 2.5 goals. Additionally, the probability backing Auxerre as winners makes this the main bet for cautious punters.

  • Main Bet: Auxerre to win (1.93)
  • Secondary Option: Under 2.5 goals (1.71)
  • Alternative: Both teams not to score
  • Correct Score Lean:

With Auxerre hungry for a positive result at home and Metz’s recent form showing mixed results, expect a tactical, cagey affair. Bettors should look towards the home win with caution but take note of the low scoring trend. This match promises a blend of tight defenses and strategic plays at Stade de l’Abbe-Deschamps.

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Content assisted by AI. This article was created in whole or in part with the help of artificial intelligence.

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