Palmeiras vs Fluminense Prediction, Odds & Insights – Brasileirão Serie A (26 February 2026)

The Brasileirão Serie A clash takes place at Arena Barueri in Brazil on 26 February 2026, kickoff at 01:30. This promising encounter between Palmeiras and Fluminense will be overseen by referee Felipe Fernandes de Lima.

Palmeiras in Focus

Palmeiras is lining up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, with a solid squad featuring C. Miguel as goalkeeper and a strong defensive line. Key absences include V. Figueiredo and Paulinho, which could impact squad depth. The team shows decent home form, averaging 2.5 goals per match at Arena Barueri.

Fluminense at a Glance

Also employing a 4-2-3-1 formation, Fluminense bring talented players like Ganso and J. Savarino to the pitch. Despite missing Nonato and G. Cano, they remain a competitive outfit away from home, averaging 1.83 goals per match on the road.

We Say

We back Palmeiras to win this encounter, with odds at 1.71. Expect fewer than 2.5 goals and for both teams not to score in this tight match.

Stats That Matter

Stat	Palmeiras	Fluminense
Avg. Goals For	2.33	1.33
Avg. Goals Against	0.67	0.33
Last Meeting (GF)	0	0

• The last meeting ended in a 0-0 draw, showing a cautious approach from both sides.
• Palmeiras has four wins, one loss, and one draw recent form; Fluminense has five wins, no defeats, and one draw.
• Other upcoming matches for betting provide context on both teams’ form and strategy.

Odds & Insights

Market	Palmeiras	Fluminense	Draw/Alt
1X2	1.71	–	–
Over/Under 2.5 Goals	Under	–	–
Both Teams to Score	No	–	–
Correct Score	–	–	–
Anytime Goalscorer	–	–	–

Past Meetings (H2H)

Date	Competition	Result
23 November 2025	Brasileirão Serie A	Fluminense 0-0 Palmeiras

No goals featured in the latest encounter between these two sides.

Our Take

This match promises to be a tactical battle given Palmeiras’ decent home average and Fluminense’s strong unbeaten away run. The under 2.5 goals forecast aligns with both teams’ recent tendency for tighter scorelines. Palmeiras, favored to win with a 53.08% probability, should leverage their scoring advantage and defensive solidity.

• Main Bet: Palmeiras to win (odds 1.71)
• Secondary Option: –
• Alternative: –
• Correct Score Lean: –

bettors can confidently expect a competitive game with Palmeiras edging a narrow victory based on their superior average goals and home performances. Fluminense’s resilience away from home suggests a close fight, but Palmeiras’ home presence and odds make them the smart choice for this fixture.

Probable Lineups & Tactics

Palmeiras

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Starting XI includes goalkeeper C. Miguel, defenders Khellven and Murilo, midfielders A. Pereira and Mauricio, and striker V. Roque.
• Key absences: V. Figueiredo, Paulinho.

Fluminense

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Starting XI features Fabio in goal, Ganso and J. Savarino in attack, defensive stability with Guga and Ignacio.
• Key absences: Nonato, G. Cano.

Odds Snapshot

Market	Palmeiras	Fluminense	Draw/Alt
1X2	1.71	–	–
Over/Under 2.5 Goals	Under	–	–
Both Teams to Score	No	–	–
Correct Score	–	–	–
Anytime Goalscorer	–	–	–

Head-to-Head

Date	Competition	Result
23 November 2025	Brasileirão Serie A	Fluminense 0-0 Palmeiras

Key Stats & Takeaways

1. Palmeiras have scored an average of 2.33 goals in recent matches compared to Fluminense’s 1.33.
2. Fluminense boast a tighter defence conceding only 0.33 goals on average versus Palmeiras’ 0.67.
3. The last fixture ended goalless, hinting at a cautious approach from both sides.
4. Palmeiras enjoy a strong home record with 5 wins, 1 loss and 1 draw in recent matches at Arena Barueri.
5. Fluminense remain unbeaten away with 5 wins and 1 draw, showing resilience on the road.
6. Match goals average to 3 total, with a 50% chance under 2.5 goals for Palmeiras games.
7. Palmeiras are slight favourites according to betting with 53.08% chance to win.